Regulatory and market risk

Stay ahead of

the regulatory shift.

Location-specific transition risk across policy, market, technology and reputation, scored per asset and updated annually as the regulatory landscape evolves.

SSEEEE  IITT  IINN  AACCTTIIOONN

Regulatory and market risk

Stay ahead of

the regulatory shift.

Location-specific transition risk across policy, market, technology and reputation, scored per asset and updated annually as the regulatory landscape evolves.

SSEEEE  IITT  IINN  AACCTTIIOONN

Regulatory and market risk

Stay ahead of

the regulatory shift.

Location-specific transition risk across policy, market, technology and reputation, scored per asset and updated annually as the regulatory landscape evolves.

SSEEEE  IITT  IINN  AACCTTIIOONN

Frameworks served

CSRD · ESRS E1

TCFD

TNFD

IFRS S2

Why refinq

Four risk types. One score.

Four risk types. One composited, jurisdiction-specific score. Built to run annually as regulations evolve.

The rules are changing, jurisdiction by jurisdiction.

Carbon pricing, CBAM, mandatory disclosure, and technology mandates vary by country, sector, and asset type. A structured, rule-based system maps which regulatory instruments apply to each of your sites, at country, province/state and even city level.

A steel plant in Germany is not a logistics hub in Poland.

Transition risk looks different per location. refinq maps policy, technology, market, and reputational risk by business activity and jurisdiction, so every score reflects how location-specific vulnerabilities interact with the precise regulatory environment your asset operates in.

Scored, scenario-weighted, and disclosure-ready.

Each driver is scored by Financial Impact and Likelihood, then scenario-conditioned across SSP1 (Sustainability), SSP3 (Regional Rivalry), and SSP5 (Fossil-fuelled Development). Scenario coverage is aligned with TCFD, TNFD, and CSRD requirements.

Designed to run every year, not once.

Regulatory landscapes change at differing rates, but our analysis can occur annually. refinq’s transition risk assessment is a recurring service so your disclosures reflect the current environment, and the change across years.

Frameworks served

CSRD · ESRS E1

TCFD

TNFD

IFRS S2

Why refinq

Four risk types. One score.

Four risk types. One composited, jurisdiction-specific score. Built to run annually as regulations evolve.

The rules are changing, jurisdiction by jurisdiction.

Carbon pricing, CBAM, mandatory disclosure, and technology mandates vary by country, sector, and asset type. A structured, rule-based system maps which regulatory instruments apply to each of your sites, at country, province/state and even city level.

A steel plant in Germany is not a logistics hub in Poland.

Transition risk looks different per location. refinq maps policy, technology, market, and reputational risk by business activity and jurisdiction, so every score reflects how location-specific vulnerabilities interact with the precise regulatory environment your asset operates in.

Scored, scenario-weighted, and disclosure-ready.

Each driver is scored by Financial Impact and Likelihood, then scenario-conditioned across SSP1 (Sustainability), SSP3 (Regional Rivalry), and SSP5 (Fossil-fuelled Development). Scenario coverage is aligned with TCFD, TNFD, and CSRD requirements.

Designed to run every year, not once.

Regulatory landscapes change at differing rates, but our analysis can occur annually. refinq’s transition risk assessment is a recurring service so your disclosures reflect the current environment, and the change across years.

Frameworks served

CSRD · ESRS E1

TCFD

TNFD

IFRS S2

Why refinq

Four risk types. One score.

Four risk types. One composited, jurisdiction-specific score. Built to run annually as regulations evolve.

The rules are changing, jurisdiction by jurisdiction.

Carbon pricing, CBAM, mandatory disclosure, and technology mandates vary by country, sector, and asset type. A structured, rule-based system maps which regulatory instruments apply to each of your sites, at country, province/state and even city level.

A steel plant in Germany is not a logistics hub in Poland.

Transition risk looks different per location. refinq maps policy, technology, market, and reputational risk by business activity and jurisdiction, so every score reflects how location-specific vulnerabilities interact with the precise regulatory environment your asset operates in.

Scored, scenario-weighted, and disclosure-ready.

Each driver is scored by Financial Impact and Likelihood, then scenario-conditioned across SSP1 (Sustainability), SSP3 (Regional Rivalry), and SSP5 (Fossil-fuelled Development). Scenario coverage is aligned with TCFD, TNFD, and CSRD requirements.

Designed to run every year, not once.

Regulatory landscapes change at differing rates, but our analysis can occur annually. refinq’s transition risk assessment is a recurring service so your disclosures reflect the current environment, and the change across years.

What it covers

Map transition exposure across every site in your portfolio

Physical signals turned into decisions operators can act on.

Policy and legal transition risk

Exposure to binding regulatory instruments assessed per jurisdiction and business activity: carbon pricing, emissions standards, mandatory disclosure, and sector-specific legislation.

Jurisdiction-specific policy and legal risk mapping per site

Carbon pricing and CBAM exposure assessment

Mandatory disclosure obligations (CSRD, SFDR, Taxonomy) per asset

Stranded asset risk under SSP1, SSP3, and SSP5 scenarios

Overview

Details

Reports

Industrial Zone Asset

47.071, 15.416

Risk Assessment

Policy & Legal

Very high

0.88

Carbon pricing

High

0.72

CBAM exposure

High

0.65

Disclosure obligations

Medium

0.55

Litigation risk

Low

0.30

Policy and legal transition risk

Exposure to binding regulatory instruments assessed per jurisdiction and business activity: carbon pricing, emissions standards, mandatory disclosure, and sector-specific legislation.

Jurisdiction-specific policy and legal risk mapping per site

Carbon pricing and CBAM exposure assessment

Mandatory disclosure obligations (CSRD, SFDR, Taxonomy) per asset

Stranded asset risk under SSP1, SSP3, and SSP5 scenarios

Overview

Details

Reports

Industrial Zone Asset

47.071, 15.416

Risk Assessment

Policy & Legal

Very high

0.88

Carbon pricing

High

0.72

CBAM exposure

High

0.65

Disclosure obligations

Medium

0.55

Litigation risk

Low

0.30

Policy and legal transition risk

Exposure to binding regulatory instruments assessed per jurisdiction and business activity: carbon pricing, emissions standards, mandatory disclosure, and sector-specific legislation.

Jurisdiction-specific policy and legal risk mapping per site

Carbon pricing and CBAM exposure assessment

Mandatory disclosure obligations (CSRD, SFDR, Taxonomy) per asset

Stranded asset risk under SSP1, SSP3, and SSP5 scenarios

Overview

Details

Reports

Industrial Zone Asset

47.071, 15.416

Risk Assessment

Policy & Legal

Very high

0.88

Carbon pricing

High

0.72

CBAM exposure

High

0.65

Disclosure obligations

Medium

0.55

Litigation risk

Low

0.30

Technology and market transition risk

Risk from process obsolescence and competitive displacement, plus demand shifts away from carbon-intensive products and changing customer expectations across your markets.

Technology retrofit requirement assessment per site and NACE sector

Process obsolescence risk from low-carbon competitive displacement

Demand shift exposure for carbon-intensive or nature-degrading outputs

Assessed across short term (2031), medium term (2036), and long term (2056) horizons

Overview

Details

Reports

Industrial Zone Asset

47.071, 15.416

Risk Assessment

Technology risk

High

0.65

Market risk

Medium

0.55

Retrofit cost exposure

High

0.70

Demand shift

Medium

0.48

Reputational risk

Low

0.35

Technology and market transition risk

Risk from process obsolescence and competitive displacement, plus demand shifts away from carbon-intensive products and changing customer expectations across your markets.

Technology retrofit requirement assessment per site and NACE sector

Process obsolescence risk from low-carbon competitive displacement

Demand shift exposure for carbon-intensive or nature-degrading outputs

Assessed across short term (2031), medium term (2036), and long term (2056) horizons

Overview

Details

Reports

Industrial Zone Asset

47.071, 15.416

Risk Assessment

Technology risk

High

0.65

Market risk

Medium

0.55

Retrofit cost exposure

High

0.70

Demand shift

Medium

0.48

Reputational risk

Low

0.35

Technology and market transition risk

Risk from process obsolescence and competitive displacement, plus demand shifts away from carbon-intensive products and changing customer expectations across your markets.

Technology retrofit requirement assessment per site and NACE sector

Process obsolescence risk from low-carbon competitive displacement

Demand shift exposure for carbon-intensive or nature-degrading outputs

Assessed across short term (2031), medium term (2036), and long term (2056) horizons

Overview

Details

Reports

Industrial Zone Asset

47.071, 15.416

Risk Assessment

Technology risk

High

0.65

Market risk

Medium

0.55

Retrofit cost exposure

High

0.70

Demand shift

Medium

0.48

Reputational risk

Low

0.35

Transition Risk Score and portfolio view

Aggregate TR scores across your portfolio to identify concentration of transition exposure by sector, geography, and risk type, feeding directly into capex and strategy decisions.

TR Score: (2×Policy&Legal + Technology + Market + 0.5×Reputational) / 4.5

Portfolio transition triage by site and region

What-if scenarios on regulatory timelines and sector shifts

Complements physical climate risk for compound vulnerability analysis

Overview

Details

Reports

Industrial Zone Asset

47.071, 15.416

Risk Assessment

Transition Risk Score

High

0.68

Policy score

Very high

0.88

Technology score

High

0.65

Market score

Medium

0.55

Reputational score

Low

0.35

Transition Risk Score and portfolio view

Aggregate TR scores across your portfolio to identify concentration of transition exposure by sector, geography, and risk type, feeding directly into capex and strategy decisions.

TR Score: (2×Policy&Legal + Technology + Market + 0.5×Reputational) / 4.5

Portfolio transition triage by site and region

What-if scenarios on regulatory timelines and sector shifts

Complements physical climate risk for compound vulnerability analysis

Overview

Details

Reports

Industrial Zone Asset

47.071, 15.416

Risk Assessment

Transition Risk Score

High

0.68

Policy score

Very high

0.88

Technology score

High

0.65

Market score

Medium

0.55

Reputational score

Low

0.35

Transition Risk Score and portfolio view

Aggregate TR scores across your portfolio to identify concentration of transition exposure by sector, geography, and risk type, feeding directly into capex and strategy decisions.

TR Score: (2×Policy&Legal + Technology + Market + 0.5×Reputational) / 4.5

Portfolio transition triage by site and region

What-if scenarios on regulatory timelines and sector shifts

Complements physical climate risk for compound vulnerability analysis

Overview

Details

Reports

Industrial Zone Asset

47.071, 15.416

Risk Assessment

Transition Risk Score

High

0.68

Policy score

Very high

0.88

Technology score

High

0.65

Market score

Medium

0.55

Reputational score

Low

0.35

See how the rules land on your assets

Policy, technology, market and reputational risk, scored per site and per jurisdiction across SSP1, SSP3 and SSP5, and refreshed as the regulation moves.

BBOOOOKK  AA  DDEEMMOO